{"id":7061,"date":"2015-03-26T21:31:36","date_gmt":"2015-03-26T21:31:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/?p=7061"},"modified":"2021-01-13T10:42:02","modified_gmt":"2021-01-13T10:42:02","slug":"election-2015-i-couldnt-live-on-a-zero-hours-contract-cameron-tells-paxman-live","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/2015\/03\/26\/election-2015-i-couldnt-live-on-a-zero-hours-contract-cameron-tells-paxman-live\/","title":{"rendered":"Cameron has edge over Miliband in TV battle, Guardian\/ICM poll shows &#8211; live"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>Lets get the word out there and seriously think about what how we vote in May.<br \/>\nYou might feel that your safe and secure and nothings going to touch you, but circumstances change. Lets get out of this race to the bottom.<\/i><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><!-- GUARDIAN WATERMARK --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/live\/2015\/mar\/26\/election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman-live-updates\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/image.guardian.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2010\/03\/01\/poweredbyguardianBLACK.png?resize=140%2C45\" alt=\"Powered by Guardian.co.uk\" width=\"140\" height=\"45\" \/>This article titled &#8220;Cameron has edge over Miliband in TV battle, Guardian\/ICM poll shows &#8211; live&#8221; was written by Andrew Sparrow, for theguardian.com on Friday 27th March 2015 00.48 UTC<\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"block-55149938e4b0b1a24cd21275\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 12.33am <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"block-title\">All our coverage of tonight&#8217;s TV battle &#8211; in one place<\/h2>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"3245f02e54c0958a40d3ca4d06f8ce485c18ce3b\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.guim.co.uk\/3245f02e54c0958a40d3ca4d06f8ce485c18ce3b\/0_99_2326_1395\/1000.jpg?resize=604%2C362&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Paxman\" width=\"604\" height=\"362\" class=\"gu-image\" \/><figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">\u2018Are you alright?\u2019 \u2018Yes &#8211; are YOU alright?\u2019<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Getty Images<\/span> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>  We\u2019ve just launched a Comment is free round-up with commentary on tonight\u2019s Cameron\/Miliband non-debate showdown from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/pollytoynbee\">Polly Toynbee<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/jonathanfreedland\">Jonathan Freedland<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/matthew-dancona\">Matthew d\u2019Ancona<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/hughmuir\">Hugh Muir<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/gabyhinsliff\">Gaby Hinsliff<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/adityachakrabortty\">Aditya Chakrabortty<\/a>. Here\u2019s an extract from Polly\u2019s article. <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"quoted\"><p> Miliband had just enough chance to mention what he cares about most \u2013 inequality, decent pay and fair chances. Will that carry him through? Without pointing a finger at the government for the rich by the rich, the contrast between their chosen issues was there for all to see. Here was the personality choice too \u2013 a highly polished professional politician pitched against an amateur, boyish enthusiast, lacking the gloss and the experience. Which quality is valued more by the alienated undecideds remains uncertain.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2015\/mar\/27\/battle-for-no-10-verdicts-first-of-the-leaders-tv-programmes\">You can read all six articles here.<\/a><\/p>\n<p> And here is a round-up of all the other articles on our site on the showdown.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/26\/david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman-tv-leaders-programme-election\">Cameron mauled by Paxman but poll says he won first TV leaders\u2019 programme<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/26\/david-cameron-ed-miliband-despicable-prime-minister-interview-paxman\">David Cameron: I was wrong to call Ed Miliband despicable<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/26\/david-cameron-fallible-ed-miliband-new-labour-jeremy-paxman-leaders-debates\">Cameron left looking dangerously fallible after leaders\u2019 debate, says Anne Perkins <\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/26\/leaders-debate-paxman-miliband-cameron\">Only one winner in the leaders\u2019 Q&amp;A \u2013 it\u2019s Paxman by a landslide, says John Crace<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/26\/cameron-paxman-miliband-undecided-voters-poll\">Cameron v Paxman v Miliband: what undecided voters think<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/26\/tv-leaders-interviews-jeremy-paxman-cameron-miliband\">Jeremy Paxman goes for the jugular, says Stuart Heritage <\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> And here is some video<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/video\/2015\/mar\/26\/jeremy-paxman-ed-miliband-debate-video\">Let me explain: Miliband coins a phrase<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/video\/2015\/mar\/26\/david-cameron-jeremy-paxman-debate-questions-video\">The questions that made Cameron splutter<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/video\/2015\/mar\/27\/election-2015-ed-miliband-tv-interview-video-highlights\">Highlights from Ed Miliband<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2015\/mar\/27\/battle-for-no-10-verdicts-first-of-the-leaders-tv-programmes\">Highlights of David Cameron<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> That\u2019s all from me for tonight.<\/p>\n<p> Thanks for the comments.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"block-time updated-time\">Updated at 12.48am GMT<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-5514a12be4b0eb24a16eb7cf\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 12.23am <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  Here is some alternative analysis of what Twitter sentiment said about who won the encounter. Unlike the Sun\u2019s findings (see<a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/live\/2015\/mar\/26\/election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman-live-updates#block-55149379e4b07e0a7c43a7b2\"> 11.18pm)<\/a>, this chart shows Ed Miliband winning easily.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"8f614db96cc19a980054bf4762a592ef193527bd\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/27\/1427415401346\/abbf24a9-7bba-4c87-b503-5a82b7ce447c-460x276.png?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Twitter analysis\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/><figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Twitter analysis<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Centre for the Analysis of Social Media<\/span> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>  This is from<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JamieJBartlett\/status\/581222128709668865\"> Jamie Bartlett, from the Centre for the Analysis of Social Media.<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-5514a0c8e4b07e0a7c43a7b8\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 12.15am <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  <strong>David Cameron <\/strong>posted this on Twitter after the encounter.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/David_Cameron\/statuses\/581228926833430529\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>As I said tonight, our plan is working &#8211; and securing a better future for families across Britain. Let&#039;s keep going. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; David Cameron (@David_Cameron) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/David_Cameron\/status\/581228926833430529\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55149ec2e4b07e0a7c43a7b6\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 12.08am <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  Both sides were contacting journalists during and after the Cameron\/Miliband showdown with their \u201cspin\u201d. Labour concentrated on sending me text messages.<\/p>\n<p> But, when it came to sending emails, the Tories beat Labour hands down. Here\u2019s my inbox from earlier. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"21071b4f773194031c0efe3cf21a8bc0371b25a5\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/27\/1427414763442\/0fcc5586-a41c-4f7d-910b-a9139dca2a05-460x276.png?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"My email inbox\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/><figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">My email inbox<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Guardian<\/span> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55149c81e4b0b1a24cd21279\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.57pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  We\u2019ve got two videos from the exchanges up already, but we\u2019ve got two more videos, with lengthy highlights from David Cameron and Ed Miliband, due to launch in the next 10 minutes or so.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55149b05e4b0cbe13ce32007\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.54pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  On Twitter some people have been suggesting that ICM must have carried out their poll before the end of Ed Miliband\u2019s exchanges with Jeremy Paxman. That might explain why ICM puts Cameron ahead, they suggest.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TVRav\/statuses\/581238571429982208\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AndrewSparrow\">@AndrewSparrow<\/a> when did polling stop? It&#039;s completely contrary to social media response<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; r@v (@TVRav) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TVRav\/status\/581238571429982208\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joncraig\/statuses\/581232292795949056\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Bit surprised by 54-46 snap poll. I just wonder if ICM, in their haste to publish poll, stopped polling before Ed Miliband&#039;s strong finish?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; joncraigSKY (@joncraig) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joncraig\/status\/581232292795949056\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<p>  I\u2019m told this is not the case. The post-event poll was launched at 10.27pm, after Paxman\u2019s interview with Miliband was over. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-5514999de4b0cbe13ce32006\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.46pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"block-title\">YouGov&#8217;s app poll: 51% says Cameron won, 49% Miliband<\/h2>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  YouGov has been polling tonight\u2019s Cameron\/Miliband showdown using a new app.<\/p>\n<p> According to this, Cameron won by a very slim margin.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SamCoatesTimes\/statuses\/581229540749475841\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Instant result on tonight&#039;s TV debate by YouGov&#039;s First Verdict app for The Times:&#010;Cameron 51%&#010;Miliband 49%&#010;802 respondents<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SamCoatesTimes\/status\/581229540749475841\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55149887e4b01b6ac4ce412e\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.39pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Alberto Nardelli\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/22\/1427053245158\/AlbertoNardelli.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Alberto Nardelli<\/h1>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>&lt;\/body&gt;&lt;\/html&gt;&lt;\/body&gt;&lt;\/html&gt;&#8221;&gt;   One challenge when looking at polling around debates is determining pre-existing bias. In other words, most Conservative voters think Cameron won, most Labour voters think Miliband won &#8211; the question is what did everyone else think?<\/p>\n<p> Lib Dem supporters broke for Miliband 52% to 48%. Ukip voters for Cameron 70% to 30%. <\/p>\n<p> The topline shows Cameron won the debate according to 54% of respondents.<\/p>\n<p> However, when asked who they thought would make the better PM, 48% said Cameron, 40% Miliband. Now usually on this question, Cameron enjoys a much more significant 15-20 point gap.<\/p>\n<p> Also, among the 8% in the ICM poll that said the debate might change their mind, 56% of these said they would now consider voting Labour, and 30% for the Tories.<\/p>\n<p> Public opinion takes time to stabilise, Miliband began the evening miles behind Cameron when it comes to personal ratings. Tonight he may have narrowed that gap.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&lt;<\/p>\n<p>p class=&#8221;block-time updated-time&#8221;&gt;Updated at 11.46pm GMT<\/p>\n<div id=\"block-5514971fe4b07e0a7c43a7b5\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.35pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"block-title\">ICM poll data in full<\/h2>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  Here are the full ICM poll tables.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"element element-document\" data-canonical-url=\"http:\/\/www.scribd.com\/doc\/260068703\/Gdn-ICMFlashPollMilibandCameron\">  <\/figure>\n<p class=\"block-time updated-time\">Updated at 11.35pm GMT<\/p>\n<div id=\"block-55149771e4b0b1a24cd21273\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.34pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"block-title\">Questions that made PM splutter: Cameron v Paxman &#8211; video<\/h2>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-video\" data-canonical-url=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/video\/2015\/mar\/26\/david-cameron-jeremy-paxman-debate-questions-video\" data-short-url=\"http:\/\/gu.com\/p\/472nq\" data-video-id=\"2265650\" data-video-name=\" Paxman v Cameron: questions that made PM splutter - video\" data-video-provider=\"Reuters\" data-video-poster=\"https:\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/audio\/video\/2015\/3\/26\/1427408902787\/crop_KP_143438_640x360.jpeg\"> <video data-media-id=\"gu-video-456150478\" class=\"gu-video\" controls=\"controls\" poster=\"http:\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/audio\/video\/2015\/3\/26\/1427408900274\/crop_KP_143438_1200x720.jpeg\">  <\/video> <\/figure>\n<p>   David Cameron is also given a rough ride. Paxman, in his signature style, presses the prime minister on the minimum wage, foreign policy and his 2010 pledges on VAT. Watch our compilation of Paxman\u2019s best questions<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"block-time updated-time\">Updated at 11.36pm GMT<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-5514966fe4b01b6ac4ce412d\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.33pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"block-title\">Hell yes! Miliband v Paxman &#8211; video<\/h2>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-video\" data-canonical-url=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/video\/2015\/mar\/26\/jeremy-paxman-ed-miliband-debate-video\" data-short-url=\"http:\/\/gu.com\/p\/472zf\" data-video-id=\"2265666\" data-video-name=\"Paxman v Miliband: Let me explain, Jeremy! - video\" data-video-provider=\"Reuters\" data-video-poster=\"https:\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/audio\/video\/2015\/3\/26\/1427412196522\/crop_KP_143491_640x360.jpeg\"> <video data-media-id=\"gu-video-456150840\" class=\"gu-video\" controls=\"controls\" poster=\"http:\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/audio\/video\/2015\/3\/26\/1427412193025\/crop_KP_143491_1200x720.jpeg\">  <\/video> <\/figure>\n<p>   Ed Miliband develops something of a catchphrase during his televised Q&amp;A with Jeremy Paxman. The Labour leader has a lot of explaining to do as he answers questions on immigration, his brother, and whether he\u2019s tough enough for the job of prime minister<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55148caae4b02ccee1b19ca3\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.27pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"block-title\">Verdict from the Twitter commentariat<\/h2>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  Here is a selection of the most interesting tweets I\u2019ve seen from political journalists and commentators who have expressed a view on the Cameron\/Miliband showdown.<\/p>\n<p>If ICM are giving it to Cameron (by a small margin), the commentariat are giving it to Miliband.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/afneil\/statuses\/581221473689427968\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Miliband was struggling at times but viewers will perhaps think he stood up better to Paxo than the PM<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Andrew Neil (@afneil) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/afneil\/status\/581221473689427968\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/afneil\/statuses\/581225526578282496\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Paxo was superb tonight. But winging it towards end with Miliband. Seemed better prepared against Cameron.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Andrew Neil (@afneil) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/afneil\/status\/581225526578282496\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheEconomist\/statuses\/581222874884784129\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>First TV duel of British election campaign over. Verdict: passionate Ed Miliband bested tetchy David Cameron. Full details on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EconBritain\">@EconBritain<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; The Economist (@TheEconomist) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheEconomist\/status\/581222874884784129\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/krishgm\/statuses\/581225514301526016\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>might expect Cameron to be further ahead than ICM result. Suspect Miliband will be content &#8211; he&#039;s much to gain, Cameron has much to lose<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Krishnan Guru-Murthy (@krishgm) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/krishgm\/status\/581225514301526016\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/adamboultonSKY\/statuses\/581221075956174848\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Polling will be interesting. Em had the best of that, but DC had record to defend. Studio Audience turned against Paxman<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Adam Boulton (@adamboultonSKY) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/adamboultonSKY\/status\/581221075956174848\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JGForsyth\/statuses\/581224920685903873\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>My sense was that Miliband had got more out of that than Cameron, but ICM poll has it 54-46 to Cameron<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; James Forsyth (@JGForsyth) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JGForsyth\/status\/581224920685903873\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JGForsyth\/statuses\/581225135169998848\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Cameron wins 54-46, according to ICM. But worth noting that this is smaller than Cameron\u2019s usual polling edge over Miliband on leadership<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; James Forsyth (@JGForsyth) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JGForsyth\/status\/581225135169998848\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/piersmorgan\/statuses\/581225530252337152\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Miliband did marginally better than Cameron. And Miliband&#039;s awful. So that shows you how poor Cameron was\/is. &#010;&#010;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Piers Morgan (@piersmorgan) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/piersmorgan\/status\/581225530252337152\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iankatz1000\/statuses\/581223011598073856\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BBCAllegra\">@BBCAllegra<\/a> thinks Miliband was clear winner of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumberTen?src=hash\">#BattleForNumberTen<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/newsnight?src=hash\">#newsnight<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Ian Katz (@iankatz1000) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iankatz1000\/status\/581223011598073856\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DanielBoffey\/statuses\/581221452218806273\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Miliband won despite everything. Not sure it means anything but be good for Labour door knockers to see&#8230; Uplifting.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Daniel Boffey (@DanielBoffey) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DanielBoffey\/status\/581221452218806273\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jameschappers\/statuses\/581235406970195968\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>My verdict: PM strong on economy, but not nearly enough fire in belly overall; Ed M poor on spending\/migration but more passionate\/animated<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; James Chapman (Mail) (@jameschappers) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jameschappers\/status\/581235406970195968\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rafaelbehr\/statuses\/581229804965478400\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Good telly. Doubt it will change much. Biggest impact probably on Lab morale &#8211; can get behind Ed with more confidence. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/leadersthing?src=hash\">#leadersthing<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Rafael Behr (@rafaelbehr) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rafaelbehr\/status\/581229804965478400\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rafaelbehr\/statuses\/581230619096686592\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>ps Ed needs to find catchy way to unpack that &#039;living standards key to deficit&#039; argument. The way he did it wasn&#039;t working.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Rafael Behr (@rafaelbehr) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rafaelbehr\/status\/581230619096686592\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Conorpope\/statuses\/581225334454009856\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Taking into account their starting positions, that is, in effect, a win for Miliband <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/CamvMili?src=hash\">#CamvMili<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Conor Pope (@Conorpope) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Conorpope\/status\/581225334454009856\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lynnbaba\/statuses\/581221969133174784\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Hate to say I agree with <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/campbellclaret\">@campbellclaret<\/a> but Miliband won hands down<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Lynn Barber (@lynnbaba) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lynnbaba\/status\/581221969133174784\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/steverichards14\/statuses\/581232343840591874\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Message from tonight: Miliband is the fresh figure in election. New to most voters and, unmediated, capable of challenging media orthodoxy.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; steve richards (@steverichards14) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/steverichards14\/status\/581232343840591874\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/OwenJones84\/statuses\/581222225795137538\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Labour need to be so much more radical. But why doesn\u2019t Miliband show that passion more often <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Owen Jones (@OwenJones84) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/OwenJones84\/status\/581222225795137538\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jennirsl\/statuses\/581222086036852736\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Miliband won that.  Fantastic ending &#8211; he cares much more about plight of Britain than about attacks on him personally  <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumberTen?src=hash\">#BattleForNumberTen<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Jenni Russell (@jennirsl) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jennirsl\/status\/581222086036852736\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joncraig\/statuses\/581232292795949056\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Bit surprised by 54-46 snap poll. I just wonder if ICM, in their haste to publish poll, stopped polling before Ed Miliband&#039;s strong finish?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; joncraigSKY (@joncraig) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joncraig\/status\/581232292795949056\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stephenkb\/statuses\/581227139837616129\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Miliband usually trails Cameron by 20 points in approval ratings. An eight point defeat is a massive victory for Ed. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Stephen Bush (@stephenkb) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stephenkb\/status\/581227139837616129\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stephenpollard\/statuses\/581222088402427904\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>If I was editing a tabloid, my main story from this would be that Miliband says no limit to immigration.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Stephen Pollard (@stephenpollard) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stephenpollard\/status\/581222088402427904\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JoshHalliday\/statuses\/581222089937559552\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Thought Ed won that. Cameron slaughtered by Paxo then given easy ride by audience. Miliband disarmingly  honest and stood up to Paxo.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Josh Halliday (@JoshHalliday) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JoshHalliday\/status\/581222089937559552\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RichardA\/statuses\/581231985688993793\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Ed Miliband made a big mistake by not going first tonight. He missed out on the biggest TV audience, which he needed.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Richard Adams (@RichardA) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RichardA\/status\/581231985688993793\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/johnestevens\/statuses\/581230879390986240\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>(Did Miliband call it right by letting Cameron face Paxo first? More ppl will read tomorrow&#039;s papers than watched tonight)<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; John Stevens (@johnestevens) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/johnestevens\/status\/581230879390986240\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55149379e4b07e0a7c43a7b2\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.18pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  The Sun has been using sentiment analytics to track reactions to the interviews and Q&amp;As on Twitter.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sunnation.co.uk\/the-leaders-interviews-twerdict\/\">And their verdict is &#8211; a bit mixed.<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"quoted\"><p> Well, it seems there was no clear overall winner, with both of them getting a kicking on Twitter.<\/p>\n<p>It was a good night for Paxman, who put both leaders through the wringer, with poor Ed coming off worse.<\/p>\n<p>But Miliband had a stronger showing during the Q&amp;A section, which may have been enough to give him the edge overall.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-551491cbe4b01b6ac4ce4129\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.14pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"block-title\">Behavioural psychologist Dr Peter Collett&#8217;s verdict<\/h2>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"671ac2ebb14c2fe0ad95fb829f9c8a0ffbbcd298\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.guim.co.uk\/671ac2ebb14c2fe0ad95fb829f9c8a0ffbbcd298\/0_187_2617_1569\/1000.jpg?resize=604%2C362&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"David Cameron started off talking too fast.\" width=\"604\" height=\"362\" class=\"gu-image\" \/><figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">David Cameron started off talking too fast.<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Getty Images<\/span> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>  <strong>It was really a game of two halves<\/strong>, and I didn\u2019t think there was a lot to chose between them when it came to the audience interrogation. There were certainly signs that Cameron scored when it came to the Paxman interview.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Miliband showed signs of being more jokey<\/strong>, especially towards the end &#8211; the acid test is the cut away. It\u2019s not simply a matter of trying to deconstruct how the party leaders behaved but rather looking for cues as to the impact of their behaviours on the audience. If you looked at how the audience were reacting, you could see that they were far more amused when Paxman scored a point against Miliband, than they were when he managed to put down Cameron.<\/p>\n<p><strong>But both leaders seemed rattled.<\/strong> They were using a lot of dominance displays in order to try and reassert themselves: using stiff wrists, a lot of heavy gesticulation and frowning. There was lip licking by Cameron, which is his signature sign of distress. Both were also using finger counting unconsciously in an attempt to discourage Paxman from interrupting them. \u201cWhat I would like to say is\u201d and up goes the thumb. What this says to Paxman is \u201cHey I have a list of things to say, don\u2019t interrupt me. Both of them got roughed up quite a bit &#8211; I wasn\u2019t overwhelemd by either.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cameron didn\u2019t start off terribly well in his conversation with Paxman<\/strong>, partly because he was talking too fast and there was no light and shade. Speech speed is a key indication of who is in control. But then he settled in, particularly when he pushed back against Paxman.<\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.drpetercollett.com\/\">Dr Peter Collett<\/a> is a behavioural psychologist and former Oxford don<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"block-time updated-time\">Updated at 11.18pm GMT<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55149058e4b01b6ac4ce4128\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.11pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  <strong>The ICM poll also asked about character.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p> Ed Miliband did better than David Cameron on four counts: governing in the interests of the many not the few (55% v 27%); having the courage to say what\u2019s right rather than what\u2019s popular (51% v 35%); and understanding \u201cpeople like me\u201d (48% v 25%). And, when asked which leader was more spin than substance, Miliband also did better. Some 49% said Cameron was more spin than substance, but only 35% for Miliband.<\/p>\n<p>Cameron also won on four counts: being respected around the word (58% to 19%): being decisive (54% to 29%); being good in a crisis (46% to 21%); and being backed by his party (58% to 21%).<\/p>\n<p>The two men are almost equally matched on having \u201cchanged his party for the better\u201d. Some 36% say that of Cameron, and 35% of Miliband.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"block-time updated-time\">Updated at 11.17pm GMT<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"block-5514909fe4b02ccee1b19ca7\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.09pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Rowena\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427391889188\/RowenaMason.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Rowena Mason<\/h1>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>&lt;\/body&gt;&lt;\/html&gt;&lt;\/body&gt;&lt;\/html&gt;&#8221;&gt;   More from Rowena Mason in the spin room, who has been talking to <strong>William Hague. <\/strong>He denied Cameron was out of sorts because the government\u2019s Commons bid to unseat Speaker John Bercow was defeated.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"quoted\"><p> The prime minister was not grumpy. He does not get grumpy and he showed no sign of being that tonight<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Asked why Cameron did not get the audience laughing and at ease as Miliband did, Hague said:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"quoted\"><p> They were laughing at him and pointing out Ed Balls was a weak point in the shadow cabinet. The prime minister handled the entire interview extremely well.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<p>&lt;<\/p>\n<p>p class=&#8221;block-time updated-time&#8221;&gt;Updated at 11.15pm GMT<\/p>\n<div id=\"block-5514906ee4b0eb24a16eb7c0\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.04pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"1ea25bd2cd98a2a5938e8c91274ea097b79e113c\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.guim.co.uk\/1ea25bd2cd98a2a5938e8c91274ea097b79e113c\/0_0_3500_2102\/1000.jpg?resize=604%2C363&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Ed Miliband and Jeremy Paxman in the Sky studio. They\u2019re both alright.\" width=\"604\" height=\"363\" class=\"gu-image\" \/><figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Ed Miliband and Jeremy Paxman in the Sky studio. They\u2019re both alright.<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Stefan Rousseau\/PA<\/span> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55148fa5e4b07e0a7c43a7af\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.03pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  More from the ICM poll.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Only 8% of those polled overall indicated that they were likely to have changed their mind about how they would vote at the election on the basis of what they saw tonight.<\/p>\n<p>Amongst those, 56% said they would now vote Labour. And just 30% said they were now backing the Conservatives.<\/p>\n<div id=\"block-55148f45e4b02ccee1b19ca5\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 11.00pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-image element--thumbnail\" data-media-id=\"4df659dfb6833af72d4ddaa92ace5507bf96e53a\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.guim.co.uk\/4df659dfb6833af72d4ddaa92ace5507bf96e53a\/1143_227_1008_1513\/666.jpg?resize=604%2C907&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Nigel Farage.\" width=\"604\" height=\"907\" class=\"gu-image\" \/><figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Nigel Farage.<\/span> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>  <strong>Nigel Farage<\/strong>, the Ukip leader, said Miliband had clearly given a better performance, giving him 7\/10 against Cameron\u2019s 4\/10, <strong>Rowena Mason <\/strong>reports.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt was not what I expected at all,\u201d Farage said. \u201cIn terms of personalities, he fought back more, was more human and got the audience clapping. Cameron was nowhere near that. Cameron looked discomfited.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"block-time updated-time\">Updated at 11.02pm GMT<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55148f0de4b0eb24a16eb7bf\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.59pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">  <strong>Douglas Alexander,<\/strong> Labour\u2019s election chief, said it was a \u201cpowerful, powerful performance [from Ed Miliband] but it wasn\u2019t so much about performance as it was about substance\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>  He said Cameron\u2019s answers were \u201cpoor\u201d, particularly the one about students choosing zero-hour contracts.<\/p>\n<p> Asked about the poll showing Cameron winning, Alexander said: \u201cIf you look at the numbers that emerge in the coming weeks, the numbers that matter are the numbers on May 7 &#8230; I haven\u2019t even looked at the numbers but we are protagonists not commentators.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55148dfde4b0cbe13ce31ff7\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.55pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"block-title\">Guardian\/ICM poll shows Cameron wins &#8211; just: Cameron 54%, Miliband 46%<\/h2>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Tom Clark\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/22\/1427053353880\/TomClark.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Tom Clark<\/h1>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>&lt;\/body&gt;&lt;\/html&gt;&lt;\/body&gt;&lt;\/html&gt;&#8221;&gt;   An instant Guardian\/ICM poll found that David Cameron had narrowly \u201cwon\u201d the contest with 54% saying that the PM came out on top once the don\u2019t knows were excluded, compared with just 46% who felt that Miliband had the edge. <\/p>\n<p>The sample of viewers, who were weighted to bring them in line with the broader population, were asked to put aside their party preference and concentrate only on what they heard during the programme, 46% felt that Cameron had the best arguments, as against 44% who said the same of Miliband. Cameron was also judged slightly more convincing \u2013 by 48% to 43% \u2013 and to have the more appealing personality, by 46% to 42%. He chalked up a clearer win on \u201cactually answering the questions asked\u201d, by 44% to 37%.<\/p>\n<p>There was better news for Miliband when it comes to the crucial question of shifting votes: 56% of the sub-sample who said they might change their mind will now plump for Labour, as against just 30% for the Conservatives. <\/p>\n<p>David Cameron retains his lead as best prime minister in this survey &#8211; but by a smaller margin than in many past polls \u2013 he is preferred on this count by 48% as against just 40% for Miliband. <\/p>\n<p>ICM interviewed 3,650 adults aged 18+ online on 24-26th March. All agreed to watch the Cameron vs Miliband Live: the Battle for Number 10, and to complete a second interview immediately after it finished, which 1,123 did in the first few minutes. The data on both waves were weighted to the profile of all GB adults, including to recall of 2010 General Election voting. In essence, the post-wave data is ICM\u2019s best guess on what a representative sample of the voting population would say had they all watched the programme.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&lt;<\/p>\n<p>p class=&#8221;block-time updated-time&#8221;&gt;Updated at 11.00pm GMT<\/p>\n<div id=\"block-55148d38e4b0b1a24cd2126c\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.51pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<p><strong>Rupert Murdoch<\/strong> was watching.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rupertmurdoch\/statuses\/581221050333073408\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p>Thanks for 2 mentions, Ed Miliband.  Only met once for all of 2 minutes when you embarrassed me with over the top flattery.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Rupert Murdoch  (@rupertmurdoch) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rupertmurdoch\/status\/581221050333073408\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n<p>I don\u2019t think President Obama has tweeted about Ed Miliband yet, though. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"block-55148adce4b0cbe13ce31ff1\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\">\n<p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.45pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"block-title\">Poll findings &#8211; Snap analysis<\/h2>\n<div class=\"block-elements\">\n<figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Andrew Sparrow\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/22\/1427053245375\/AndrewSparrow.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><\/p>\n<h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Andrew Sparrow<\/h1>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>&lt;\/body&gt;&lt;\/html&gt;&lt;\/body&gt;&lt;\/html&gt;&#8221;&gt;   <\/p>\n<p>There are three snap observations on our poll.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1) A win is a win. David Cameron is entitled to celebrate victory.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>2) But, given Ed Miliband\u2019s personal ratings before tonight, Miliband is the man who has outperformed his benchmark &#8211; quite significantly.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>3) And this does cause problems for the Tories, because depicting Miliband as unfit to be prime minister constitutes about 50% of their election strategy.<\/strong> (The long-term economic plan is the other 50%). Labour are attacking Cameron, of course, but their campaign is not founded on the notion that he is manifestly incapable of running the country.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<pre><code><div id=\"block-55148b5de4b0cbe13ce31ff3\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.43pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Esther\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427391767347\/EstherAddley.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Esther Addley<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;p&gt;And the big winner tonight is... Sunil! Who asked such a good question (\u201cDo you not think your brother would have done a better job?\u201d) , even Jeremy Paxman found himself returning to it towards the end when he wasn\u2019t the only one starting to flag.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Otherwise, whatever your view of their answers, it seems clear that Miliband secured a huge advantage in winning the toss and putting Cameron in to bat first, allowing his half-time pep-talkers to slap him about the face a few times and send him out swinging. &lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;He is, let us recall, \u201ca pretty resilient guy\u201d. As is his \u201cpoor mother\u201d, who may have had to endure the \u201cbruising\u201d split of her sons, but having been forced to flee a town from which tens of thousands were transported to Treblinka, may feel she\u2019s had worse.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;All of which aside - can he eat three Shredded Wheat? We may never know, since Burley dodged the question. Call that a fair non-debate?&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;    <div id=\"block-55148a15e4b0b1a24cd21269\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.38pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Our poll result is out. And Cameron wins - just.<\/p> <p>Cameron: 54%<\/p> <p>Miliband: 46%<\/p> <p>More soon ...<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:59:55.413Z\"&gt;at 10.59pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55145f14e4b07e0a7c43a78b\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.36pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Cameron\/Miliband showdown - Overall snap verdict<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Cameron\/Miliband showdown - Overall snap verdict<\/strong>: You can see why Ed Miliband wanted to go second. Anyone voting now in our poll will have the memory of Miliband\u2019s exchange with Paxman foremost in their mind, and I expect many people will conclude he was impressive. Although I said earlier he seemed a bit over-rehearsed, he also produced some good spontaneous comebacks (like the one about Cameron on the tube). Overall, the encounter did not contain any big surprises - they rarely do - and, whatever our poll says, it is unlikely to decide the election. But these were compelling, lively encounters, and proof that hard interviews can actually work to the advantage of those being interviewed too.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:37:50.209Z\"&gt;at 10.37pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55145ee9e4b0eb24a16eb790\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.30pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Paxman interviews Miliband - Snap verdict<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Paxman interviews Miliband - Snap verdict<\/strong>: Miliband has put in hours of practice for these encounters, and it showed. To my ears, some of the assertive lines - hell, yes, he is tough enough; who cares what people think; he has always been underestimated - sounded a tad over-rehearsed. But I thought the same about Tony Blair\u2019s \u201cpeople\u2019s princess\u201d, which was one of the most successful soundbites ever, and my guess is that people will generally respond positively to this Miliband. Paxman almost disconcerted him with the energy question, and he picked up Miliband\u2019s tendency to answer his own questions, but, overall, Miliband was in control and I would expect him to do well in our poll. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:34:18.150Z\"&gt;at 10.34pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514881be4b0eb24a16eb7b9\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.29pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Miliband and Paxman: apparently they\u2019re both alright.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"766896ca5417c552967df677657c0ba529c16866\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427408921718\/2f605b3b-1363-4582-839f-f8b0a9a3d40d-460x276.jpeg?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Miliband and Paxman: apparently they're both alright.\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:30:10.985Z\"&gt;at 10.30pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551486dee4b0eb24a16eb7b8\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.25pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Image<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: Simon Danczuk says you are a liability.<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he does not care. He has stood up to people like Obama and Rupert Murdoch.<\/p> <p>Who cares what people think?<\/p> <p><em>Q: People say your brother would do a better job?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he has been underestimated. People never thought he would be leader.<\/p> <p>That\u2019s why he wants to be prime minster.<\/p> <p>At the end Paxman asks him if he is alright. (It sounds as if the mike is meant to be off.) \u201cYes,\u201d says Miliband, \u201care you?\u201d<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"6f57e5dded5018b789cdb8152392ab886c1f7959\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.guim.co.uk\/6f57e5dded5018b789cdb8152392ab886c1f7959\/120_161_3974_2386\/1000.jpg?resize=604%2C362&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Ed Miliband poses with Kay Burley and Jeremy Paxman.\" width=\"604\" height=\"362\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Ed Miliband poses with Kay Burley and Jeremy Paxman.<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Getty Images<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T23:25:14.986Z\"&gt;at 11.25pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55148685e4b02ccee1b19ca1\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.23pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Leadership<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: I met someone on the tube recently who said you weren\u2019t tough enough to stand up to Putin.<\/em><\/p> <p>Was it David Cameron?<\/p> <p><em>Q: He doesn\u2019t take the tube much.<\/em><\/p> <p>That\u2019s unfair to Cameron, says Miliband.<\/p> <p>He says he resisted pressure to back the government over bombing Syria. He stood up to President Barack Obama. Is he tough enough? Hell, yes, he is tough enough.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:31:27.555Z\"&gt;at 10.31pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551486a3e4b0b1a24cd21261\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.23pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Esther\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427391767347\/EstherAddley.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Esther Addley<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;p&gt;Jeremy Paxman has met another real person. On the tube. Drink!&lt;br \/&gt;Ed: \u201cWas it David Cameron you spoke to on the tube?\u201d&lt;br \/&gt;It wasn\u2019t, you will be amazed to learn.&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stephenkb\/statuses\/581220097819279360\"&gt;  &lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p&gt;If Ed Miliband doesn&#039;t care about what the newspapers say, he must *really* hate immigrants. &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\"&gt;#BattleForNumber10&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;&amp;mdash; Stephen Bush (@stephenkb) &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stephenkb\/status\/581220097819279360\"&gt;March 26, 2015&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/blockquote&gt;  &lt;\/figure&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:25:30.012Z\"&gt;at 10.25pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;   <div id=\"block-551485f9e4b01b6ac4ce411f\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.21pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>The SNP and Alex Salmond<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: As for Alex Salmond\u2019s demands, will you scrap Trident?<\/em><\/p> <p>No, says Miliband.<\/p> <p><em>Q: What about starting HS2 in Scotland?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he is not going to get into a negotiation with Salmond.<\/p> <p>Paxman says he will have to.<\/p> <p>Miliband says that is presumptious. It is not up to him to decide the election.<\/p> <p><em>Q: You really think you can win a majority?<\/em><\/p> <p>Yes, says Miliband.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:31:44.807Z\"&gt;at 10.31pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514862ee4b0cbe13ce31feb\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.20pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"2e4b2c70be1ba9bc11104117c32e68d30aa8d146\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427408429851\/406e2161-845b-4a99-b855-e57a3152b780-460x276.jpeg?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Miliband fronts up to Paxman's questions.\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Miliband fronts up to Paxman\u2019s questions.<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Sky screengrab<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:25:37.477Z\"&gt;at 10.25pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514859be4b01b6ac4ce411e\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.19pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>The mansion tax<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: Jim Murphy said the mansion tax was a way of taking money out of the south of England and giving it to Scotland.<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he does not accept that.<\/p> <p>The mansion tax will affect homes worth more than \u00a32m. Many of those are in London. There will be \u201cconsequentials\u201d, and some money will go to Scotland. But some will go to Newcastle as well. That is part of being a United Kingdom.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:23:41.813Z\"&gt;at 10.23pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514853ce4b0b1a24cd2125e\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.17pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Energy<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: On energy policy, you used to think raising energy bills was a great way of helping the environment. Now you want to cut them.<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he never said raising energy bills was a way of saving the environment.<\/p> <p><em>Q: You introduced a levy.<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he also wanted bills to be fair. There will be upward pressure on bills in the long run. But that makes it all the more important to make it fair. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:20:49.313Z\"&gt;at 10.20pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551484b7e4b0cbe13ce31fe9\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.16pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>The economy<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: You\u2019ve been wrong on unemployment, inflation and wages.<\/em><\/p> <p>Wages have fallen, says Miliband.<\/p> <p><em>Q: What would you cut?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband cites the winter fuel allowance for wealthy pensioners. There would be cuts for the police and local government.<\/p> <p><em>Q: How much does that save?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he will make these decisions in government.<\/p> <p>He is proposing cuts outside a few protected areas. Tony Blair never did that. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:20:16.105Z\"&gt;at 10.20pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551484b9e4b0cbe13ce31fea\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.14pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Esther\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427391767347\/EstherAddley.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Esther Addley<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"7f8050578f1441873c772322fcdd7987d0a4f68f\"&gt; &lt;img src=\"https:\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427408323078\/6a22d778-aa91-4ffd-9470-d18fd213ecb1-460x276.jpeg\" alt=\"Miliband\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/&gt; &lt;\/figure&gt;  &lt;p&gt;So Miliband didn\u2019t fall over and accidentally kick himself in the face, which means he\u2019s already ahead. But whatever the reason behind Burley waking up and being considerably more interventionist with the Labour leader than with Cameron, that was certainly a livelier audience session, despite two \u201cI make no bones about it\u201ds, two \u201cwe can do better\u201ds and several \u201clet me say this\u201d-es from Ed.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;At least we\u2019ve found the first star of the night in Sunil, who asked the best audience question in history: \u201cDo you not think your brother would have done a better job?\u201d Unusually, it actually got quite a revealing response.&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/laurenlaverne\/statuses\/581216308987039744\"&gt;  &lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p&gt;Paxman&#039;s on now. I hope HE remembers to ask about the Shredded Wheat. The nation must know. &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\"&gt;#BattleForNumber10&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;&amp;mdash; Lauren Laverne (@laurenlaverne) &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/laurenlaverne\/status\/581216308987039744\"&gt;March 26, 2015&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/blockquote&gt;  &lt;\/figure&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:18:49.544Z\"&gt;at 10.18pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;   <div id=\"block-55148403e4b07e0a7c43a7a8\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.14pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Immigration<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: Labour got immigration completely wrong. Some 400,000 people came in. What else did Labour do wrong?<\/em><\/p> <p>Two things, says Miliband. He says he is proud of much of what the government did. But there was too much inequality.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Did you borrow too much?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says borrowing got too high, but that was because of the financial crisis.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Did you spend too much?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says, if you are saying too much spending caused the crisis.<\/p> <p>Paxman says Miliband is answering his own questions again. He poses the question.<\/p> <p>Miliband says Paxman is now asking his own questions.<\/p> <p><em>Q: What did you spend too much on?<\/em><\/p> <p>The Millennium Dome was unnecessary, says Miliband.<\/p> <h2>Fact check on Miliband\u2019s claim on living standards by FullFact.org<\/h2>       <figure class=\"element element-video\" data-canonical-url=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=h5fC07eXnao\"> <span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"460\" height=\"259\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/h5fC07eXnao?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=opaque\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span> <\/figure>  <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:51:41.659Z\"&gt;at 10.51pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551483c5e4b02ccee1b19c9d\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.11pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Immigration<\/strong><\/p> <p>Miliband says he wants sensible controls on immigration. But, if you are asking about the EU ...<br \/><\/p> <p>I\u2019m not, says Paxman. You are inventing your own questions.<\/p> <p><em>Q: What level should it be?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he is not going to pluck a figure out of the air. But there should be controls.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:19:49.297Z\"&gt;at 10.19pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514834be4b0eb24a16eb7b4\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.10pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Paxman interviews Miliband<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: Do you think Britain is full?<\/em><\/p> <p>In terms of immigration ...<\/p> <p>Yees (a classic Paxo drawl)<\/p> <p>Miliband says he would not put it like that.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Labour got it wrong on immigration.<\/em><\/p> <p>Yes, says Miliband.<\/p> <p>(He is distancing himself from the Blair\/Brown record again. See <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/live\/2015\/mar\/26\/election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman-live-updates#block-55145e9ae4b0b1a24cd21218\">10.07pm.)<\/a><\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147fa9e4b0b1a24cd2125b\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.08pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Esther\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427391767347\/EstherAddley.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Esther Addley<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;p&gt;Well that was Cameron, or rather, the two Camerons \u2013 frazzled, essay crisis Cameron getting a hellish tutorial grilling, and chillaxed Dave who tilts his head to one side and emotes with voters and whose biggest regret is that he didn\u2019t get to do more of the all the really great things he has done.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;He has, at least, succeeded in uniting the nation on a number of crucial points:&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;- This Uncle Tom Cobbley sounds like an promising choice for Tory leader&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;- Hasn\u2019t Zayn Malik aged a lot since he left One Direction?&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;- More Paxo please, one nation Tory or not.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;    <div id=\"block-55147e8de4b02ccee1b19c97\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.07pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">The view on Cameron from our BritainThinks voters<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>But what do the real voters think about Cameron\u2019s performance tonight? We have 60 on standby to give their view throughout the election campaign as part of our joint polling project with the pollsters BritainThinks.<\/p> <p>The people in the focus groups are all undecided voters from five key seats. They each have an app and some of them are online now telling us what they think of the Cameron\u2019s interview with Paxman as it happened. <\/p> <p><strong>The overall feeling is that Cameron actually fared well<\/strong>, Deborah Mattinson, Founder of Britain Thinks says.<\/p> <p>One describes him as \u201ccomposed\u201d. <\/p> <p>Another says: \u201cI\u2019m rather impressed so far.\u201d<\/p> <p>\u201cI think he did well.\u201d<\/p> <p>\u201cHolding his own.\u201d<\/p> <p>\u201cI have a lot of respect - he doesn\u2019t get flustered.\u201d<\/p> <p>\u201cI have a lot of respect for Cameron - he doesn\u2019t get too flustered even when he\u2019s grilled by Paxman! He seems honest and down to earth.<\/p> <p>\u201cCameron has his facts and figures to hand and is not allowing Paxman to throw him off course in giving his answers, despite tough questioning from him.\u201d<\/p> <p>\u201cSuperb Cameron so far, very switched on and trustworthy.\u201d<\/p> <p><strong>The initial responses on Miliband are not so positive. <br \/><\/strong><br \/>\u201cEd Miliband doesn\u2019t seem to speak as confidently as David Cameron. Also not as ready with the numbers as David Cameron.\u201d<\/p> <p>\u201cFirst time I\u2019ve listened to Ed Miliband\u2026 Arrrr 80 minutes of it.\u201d<br \/><br \/>\u201cMilibands words sound like a fairytale. Easier said than done.\u201d<\/p> <p>\u201cDavid v Ed question put him on the spot! Do I vote for someone who would undermine his brother like he did?\u201d<\/p> <p>Deborah\u2019s summary of the panel\u2019s views so far: \u201c<strong>Top line view is that DC\u2019s performance is more assured and confident than EM - also better command of facts and figures. All our panel are undecided but this view cuts across geography and current party preferences. In particular we saw praise for Cam from some Scottish participants and some Labour leaners. <\/strong><strong>People in the panel are responding to the policies in a partisan way but even strong anti-Tories in this small sample tended to rate Cameron\u2019s performance over Miliband\u2019s<\/strong><strong>.\u201d<\/strong><\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:08:38.722Z\"&gt;at 10.08pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514828de4b0cbe13ce31fe7\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.07pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>As Miliband answers questions from the audience, his brother is tweeting about displaced Burmese people ...<br \/><\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DMiliband\/statuses\/581209599522529281\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>A future career in public health for displaced Burmese in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Thailand?src=hash\">#Thailand<\/a>. Video by <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/theIRC\">@theIRC<\/a>: <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/RGo6REyMJh\">http:\/\/t.co\/RGo6REyMJh<\/a><\/p>&mdash; David Miliband (@DMiliband) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DMiliband\/status\/581209599522529281\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure>  <p>... much to the consternation of his followers.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Tweet from Suzy Alli\">  &lt;\/body&gt;&lt;\/html&gt;\"&gt; <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55145e9ae4b0b1a24cd21218\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.07pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Miliband\u2019s Q&amp;A with Burley - Snap verdict<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Miliband\u2019s Q&amp;A with Burley - Snap verdict<\/strong>: Labour will be pleased with that. The Miliband we saw bore no real relation to the \u201cweak\u201d, \u201cdespicable\u201d character that Cameron talks about at PMQs. He sounded passionate, and engaged well with the audience (from what I heard - it might have looked different to someone watching more). It was striking how much he differentiated himself from Labour\u2019s record, and not having to defend his actions in government, as Cameron did, seemed to give him an advantage. It was also noticeable how keen he was to talk about his pledge to cut tuition fees, even boasting about how it benefited the middle classes, not low earners. Steve Richards revealed recently that one reason Miliband was keen to have a pledge on this was so he could use it as a shield in the debates. Tonight we saw that in action.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:12:34.989Z\"&gt;at 10.12pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514821de4b07e0a7c43a7a6\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.03pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: Why are you so behind in the polls?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he takes an old-fashioned view. The people are the boss. They will decide. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:09:54.156Z\"&gt;at 10.09pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55148170e4b07e0a7c43a7a5\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.03pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: You have made it difficult for your supporters. You have made gaffes. You do not seem to be fighting for the people you should be.<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says his spending plans are very different from the Conservatives.<\/p> <p>On gaffes, he says he is not going to win a bacon-sandwich eating contest. But what matters is ideas and decency.<\/p> <p><em>Q: What about Labour\u2019s record on the banks?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says Labour was wrong on that. He uses the word \u201cwrong\u201d four or five times. He has learnt from that.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Has Ed Balls?<\/em><\/p> <p>He absolutely has, says Miliband.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:10:35.887Z\"&gt;at 10.10pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551480d9e4b01b6ac4ce411c\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 10.00pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-image element--thumbnail\" data-media-id=\"1a638fbf5ca034b320712c22b485f34c57e38fde\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.guim.co.uk\/1a638fbf5ca034b320712c22b485f34c57e38fde\/210_24_1864_2793\/667.jpg?resize=604%2C906&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Mili\" width=\"604\" height=\"906\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Mili<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure>  <p><em>Q: How are you going to be different from Nick Clegg? Or are you just going to sugar-coat things?<\/em><\/p> <p>No, says Miliband.<\/p> <p><em>Q: How do we know?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband cites what he said about tuition fees. He said in 2011 that he would cut them. He has found a way of doing this.<\/p> <p><em>Q: What do you think are Cameron\u2019s best qualities?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says there are two things he admires. First, Cameron\u2019s commitment to gay marriage. And, second, his commitment to overseas aid spending.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Would you have a pint with him?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he is not sure. But he would share a bacon sandwich, he says.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T23:27:00.207Z\"&gt;at 11.27pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55148085e4b02ccee1b19c9b\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.57pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: Is socialism still an important value?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he calls it democratic socialism. But his answer is yes. Every generation must interpret this for themselves. Does the economy only work for the rich? Or does it work for everyone? He wants a fairer, more equal society. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514800ce4b0eb24a16eb7b3\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.56pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: Wouldn\u2019t your brother do a better job? He was better qualified and better positioned.<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says it won\u2019t surprise the questioner to hear that he thinks the answer is no. He felt he had to move Labour on, on things like Iraq.<\/p> <p><em>Q: How do you feel about creating such divisions?<\/em><\/p> <p>It is hard, says Miliband. It was bruising but it is healing.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Did you not talk?<\/em><\/p> <p>No, says Miliband, but relations were strained.<\/p> <p>Your poor mum, says Burley.<\/p> <p>She is quite hardened, Miliband says.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:58:34.001Z\"&gt;at 9.58pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147fa9e4b02ccee1b19c9a\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.54pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-image element--thumbnail\" data-media-id=\"307f49117972d0f7874886c7cfe48b6c667da667\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.guim.co.uk\/307f49117972d0f7874886c7cfe48b6c667da667\/0_441_2517_1511\/1000.jpg?resize=604%2C362&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"EU\" width=\"604\" height=\"362\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <\/figure>  <p><em>Q: Why won\u2019t you give people a vote on the EU?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says that is not his priority. Leaving the EU would be a disaster. Strategically, if you are dealing with terrorism or climate change, you have to be in the EU. If there is a transfer of power, he would have a referendum. But this is unlikely. Why would he have a referendum when he doesn\u2019t want to leave?<\/p> <p><em>Q: That\u2019s not a definite no, it\u2019s a politician\u2019s answer.<\/em><\/p> <p>I don\u2019t think so, says Miliband.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T23:28:25.305Z\"&gt;at 11.28pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147f4fe4b02ccee1b19c99\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.52pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: If you are prime minister, what will the budget deficit be at the end of the parliament?<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he wants to balance the budget. He will put up taxes for the highest earners. There will be some cuts. And under the Conservatives ...<\/p> <p>Don\u2019t talk about them, says Burley.<\/p> <p>Miliband says it is relevant. We need to encourage growth, so we get more tax revenues. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147ed7e4b0eb24a16eb7b1\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.51pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: I\u2019m a higher-rate taxpayer. Labour\u2019s messages make me feel demonised.<\/em><\/p> <p>Miliband says he hopes to give a better message. Some people criticise him for wanting to cut tuition fees, saying it will help middle-class families. Too right I want to help middle-class families, he says.<\/p> <p>We all benefit from better services, he says.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:52:37.215Z\"&gt;at 9.52pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147e92e4b07e0a7c43a7a4\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.49pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Miliband's Q&amp;A with Burley<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"024509d7e88de0d19f0018001d4d2c6da4af31ad\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427407155121\/e23674b4-86cd-47c7-ba06-ee59b9c34f76-460x276.jpeg?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Burley\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Burley<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure>  <p><em>Q: Are things really that bad?<\/em><\/p> <p>No, says<strong> Ed Miliband<\/strong>, but they could be a lot better. He would do something about it. We could do a lot better than this.<\/p> <p>Cameron said he could not live on a zero hours contract. Nor could I. So let\u2019s do something about it. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:59:21.436Z\"&gt;at 9.59pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55145e40e4b0cbe13ce31fab\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.47pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Cameron\u2019s Q&amp;A with Burley - Snap verdict<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Cameron\u2019s Q&amp;A with Burley - Snap verdict<\/strong>: Well, that really sucked the life out of the event (and showed why professional interviewers are worth the money), and Cameron seemed to relax. (I would have said he relaxed visibly, but I\u2019m typing, so mostly heard it, rather than watched it.) But the NHS question was sharp, and reinforced the point made by Paxman about Cameron having an iffy record on promise-keeping. And the \u201cwhat do you regret\u201d question was good too. My impression was that Cameron misjudged it. He started with a joke answer, and then resorted to: \u201cI should have done what I did, only faster\u201d. At this point a touch of humility may have served him better. But it was the familiar, rather cocksure, amiable bloke prime minister we saw, and all the evidence is that people don\u2019t mind that much.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:54:23.802Z\"&gt;at 9.54pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147e20e4b0eb24a16eb7b0\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.46pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"ff779175946035501a0f621137e8dfad9980bfa6\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427406366420\/b7d148fd-e99d-48bc-b1b4-2074c1cc36ea-460x276.jpeg?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Cameron appears to welcome the slightly more open reception from Kay Burley.\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Cameron appears to welcome the slightly more open reception from Kay Burley.<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Stefan Rousseau\/PA<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147d02e4b0b1a24cd21253\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.42pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: If you could redo one thing from your time as prime minister, what would it be?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says he promised less noise, and more politeness at PMQs. That did not work out. On the economy, he wished he had done things like the help-to-buy housing programme quicker. But nothing will work without a strong economy.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Have you ever had three shredded wheat?<\/em><\/p> <p>Yes, but it was a long time ago.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:49:30.163Z\"&gt;at 9.49pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147c91e4b0cbe13ce31fdd\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.41pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: You promised no top-down NHS reorganisation. In our borough we had to take the government to court to keep our hospital open. You broke your promises. So how can we trust you?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says his biggest promise was not to cut the NHS. And he didn\u2019t. He got rid of bureaucrats, and he is now treating more patients in the NHS. If he gets elected again, with a strong economy, he will go on investing in the NHS.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-interactive interactive\" data-interactive=\"http:\/\/interactive.guim.co.uk\/embed\/iframe-wrapper\/0.1\/boot.js\" data-canonical-url=\"http:\/\/interactive.guim.co.uk\/2015\/03\/election-factcheck\/embed\/?fact=nhs2\" data-alt=\"Factchecking\"> <a href=\"http:\/\/interactive.guim.co.uk\/2015\/03\/election-factcheck\/embed\/?fact=nhs2\">Factchecking<\/a> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:36:32.219Z\"&gt;at 10.36pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147c9ce4b02ccee1b19c94\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.39pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Paxman\u2019s body language speaks loud and clear to Cameron.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"9fbdd77622bf1b8bd6c975f093d928ffc288ebbf\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427405978704\/53b1cfb2-16b3-4ed7-af67-1c50922b3d07-460x276.jpeg?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Jeremy Paxman's body language speaks loud and clear to David Cameron.\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147c2de4b0b1a24cd21251\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.39pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: Would you like to see more NHS services provided by private companies?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says he is happy to see charities or companies provide good healthcare. What matters is whether it is good. He loves the NHS. He recalls taking his desperately ill son Ivan to hospital. Private providers are a tiny proportion of the total. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:12:36.349Z\"&gt;at 10.12pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147c1de4b0b1a24cd21250\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.37pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>BuzzFeed\u2019s Emily Ashton has a point.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/elashton\/statuses\/581208253901746176\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>I fear for Miliband that people will be changing channels now... <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Emily Ashton (@elashton) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/elashton\/status\/581208253901746176\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147bcee4b0cbe13ce31fdc\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.37pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: How will you convince the public not to opt out of the EU?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says Britain is at its best when it is an outward-looking, trading nation. The EU does some good things, but it is trying to do too much. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:43:02.123Z\"&gt;at 9.43pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147b4ce4b0b1a24cd2124e\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.36pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: What would you do to help disabled people?<\/em><br \/><\/p> <p>Cameron says he wants genuine equality. The Disability Discrimination Act, introduced by William Hague in the 1990s, has had a good effect. But there is more to be done. The employment gap is too big. Some employers are very good, and accept that if they don\u2019t employ disabled people, they are missing good people. It comes back to a strong economy.<\/p> <p><em>Q: I still think there is more to be done. Social care is becoming harder.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says councils need to bring health and social care together more. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:42:48.212Z\"&gt;at 9.42pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147ac5e4b0cbe13ce31fda\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.33pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Burley interupts. She has a question on policing.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Will you reverse the police cuts?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says he has huge respect for the police. Police budgets have been cut, but crime has come down too. Desk jobs were cut; forces were combined and there are still more efficiencies to be achieved.<\/p> <p><em>Q: The Lincolnshire chief constable said services were close to collapse.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says he does not accept that.<\/p> <p>Burley asks the questioner if he is happy with the response. He replies: \u201cNo comment.\u201d<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:41:54.880Z\"&gt;at 9.41pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551479fae4b01b6ac4ce4116\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.31pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: It has been said we have not seen anything yet as regards cuts to public services. How bad will it get?<\/em><br \/><\/p> <p>Cameron says he did not want to make cuts. But he had to get the deficit down. What he needs to do in the next two years is similar to what has been done so far. <\/p> <p>What he is suggesting is manageable and do-able, he says.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Can you give some examples?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says he mentioned some earlier, such as cutting in-work benefits. He says he has saved \u00a320bn this parliament by being smarter. There is more to be done. Businesses do this. They try and do this every year.<\/p> <p>As an example, Cameron cites policing.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:35:40.257Z\"&gt;at 9.35pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147a03e4b0b1a24cd2124c\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.29pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Esther\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427391767347\/EstherAddley.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Esther Addley<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;p&gt;To the audience! No Dimbleby tonight, but never not worth reviving this \u2026&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;       &lt;figure class=\"element element-video\" data-canonical-url=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=p3tUqRBiMVo\"&gt; <span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"460\" height=\"259\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/p3tUqRBiMVo?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=opaque\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span> &lt;\/figure&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt;    <div id=\"block-55147995e4b07e0a7c43a7a1\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.28pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: Will you appoint a cabinet minister for older people?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron thanks the questioner for her advocacy for older people. He says he will ensure pensioner benefits continue for everyone.<\/p> <p>He was asked about such a ministerial role the other day. He will think about it. But he wants all of his ministers to be thinking about how to look after older people. <\/p> <p>If the government is not doing right by older people, do not blame the others, he says; blame me. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:34:39.572Z\"&gt;at 9.34pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514799be4b0b1a24cd2124b\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.28pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>A fact check from the Observer\u2019s economics editor Heather Stewart:<\/strong><\/p> <blockquote class=\"quoted\"> <p>David Cameron claimed that \u2018the stock of debt is falling as a percentage of GDP\u2019. George Osborne proudly announced at last week\u2019s budget that it will fall in the coming financial year, 2015-16, but the prime minister is wrong to claim that it\u2019s falling already; and as the Office for Budget Responsibility pointed out, he only achieved this forecast reduction by counting on the proceeds of a sell-off of some of the banking assets the Treasury has owned since the financial crisis. <\/p> <p>The prime minister rightly told Jeremy Paxman that the coalition has cut the budget deficit - the gap between government revenue and spending each year - by half as a share of GDP since 2010 (though they hoped to eliminate it altogether).<\/p> <p>However, he also claimed that \u201cthe stock of debt is falling as a percentage of GDP\u201d. George Osborne proudly announced at last week\u2019s Budget that debt as a share of the economy is now forecast by the office for budget responsibility to fall in the coming financial year - 2015-16 - fulfilling one of the Conservatives fiscal rules. But the prime minister is wrong to claim that it\u2019s happened already. And as the Office for Budget Responsibility pointed out, he only achieved this forecast reduction by counting on the proceeds of a sell-off of some of the banking assets the Treasury has owned since the financial crisis. In cash terms, <a href=\"http:\/\/ http:\/\/webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk\/20130129110402\/http:\/www.hm-treasury.gov.uk\/d\/junebudget_complete.pdf\">public sector net debt was \u00a3771bn in 2009-2010<\/a>; <a href=\"http:\/\/budgetresponsibility.org.uk\/pubs\/March2015EFO_18-03-webv1.pdf\">it is expected to end the current financial year at \u00a31489bn<\/a><\/p> <\/blockquote> <p>And this from the Guardian\u2019s home affairs correspondent Alan Travis on Cameron\u2019s VAT claims:<\/p> <blockquote class=\"quoted\"> <p>Paxman told Cameron that in the 2010 election<em> \u201cyou said to my face, twice, that you would not raise VAT. But you did\u201d.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron responded: \u201cThere is a crucial difference on this occasion. We are the government... we know what is necessary in the next Parliament. <em>Our plans do not include increases in VAT or national insurance or income tax. <\/em>We are very clear about that...The right approach is to find savings not to put up taxes.\u201d<\/p> <p>His wording is already a retreat from his promise at prime minister\u2019s question time on Wednesday firmly ruling out any VAT rises. His language now echoes almost exactly what he said in 2010.<\/p> <p>On April 23 2010 Cameron said: \u201cWe have absolutely no plans to raise VAT. Our first budget is all about recognising we need to get spending under control rather than putting up tax.\u201d<\/p> <p>In June 2009 he he had been even more unequivocal saying: \u201cYou could try, as you say, to put it on VAT, sales tax, but again if you look at the effect of sales tax, it\u2019s very regressive, it hits the poorest the hardest. It does, I absolutely promise you. Any sales tax, anything that goes on purchases that you make in shops tends to . . . if you look at it, where VAT goes now it doesn\u2019t go on food, obviously, but it goes very, very widely and VAT is a more regressive tax than income tax or council tax.\u201d<\/p> <p>But neither statement prevented George Osborne raising the standard rate of VAT from 17.5% to 20% in his \u2018emergency budget\u2019 on 22 June 2010.<\/p> <\/blockquote> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:57:05.208Z\"&gt;at 9.57pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551478d1e4b0cbe13ce31fd5\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.26pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Cameron's Q&amp;A with Burley<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"81b0c0d6e0960aebfa508582d29e9748144e7e19\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427405654543\/be7837b9-8b92-4983-b30c-61c4af81d2bd-460x276.jpeg?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Burley\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <\/figure>  <p><em>Q: [From Matthew] What are Ed Miliband\u2019s best qualities?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron laughs. \u201cThat is a tricky one. All of us put ourselves forward because we want to do the right thing.\u201d He says he admires Miliband for voting with him over Islamic State.<br \/><\/p> <p><em>Q: You called him despicable.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says Miliband calls him things too. He called Cameron dodgy that day. He took his daughter to PMQs this week, and she said she would not be allowed to behave like that at school.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:34:25.206Z\"&gt;at 9.34pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551478eee4b0b1a24cd21249\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.24pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>This is from Stewart Wood, one of Miliband\u2019s closest advisers.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/StewartWood\/statuses\/581204554009718784\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Telling that Cameron got most undone by Paxman on food banks, zero-hours contracts &amp; not coming clean on where his welfare axe will fall.<\/p>&mdash; Stewart Wood (@StewartWood) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/StewartWood\/status\/581204554009718784\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551478cee4b07e0a7c43a7a0\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.24pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Esther\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427391767347\/EstherAddley.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Esther Addley<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;p&gt;\u201cCould you live on a zero hours contract?\u201d&lt;br \/&gt;\u201cHow much money have you borrowed?\u201d&lt;br \/&gt;\u201cThere\u2019s a credibility problem here, isn\u2019t there?\u201d&lt;br \/&gt;\u201cWhat do you think has been your biggest foreign policy disaster?\u201d&lt;br \/&gt;\u201cWhat would it take for you to vote no in a referendum on our continued participation in the European Union?\u201d&lt;br \/&gt;\u201cA vote for Cameron is a vote for two, three, four years, after which it\u2019s Boris Johnson or ... Uncle Tom Cobbley?\u201d&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;Oh Paxo, how we\u2019ve missed you!&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"ed3b5e7e2143d1540b7b18786d0752b4128970aa\"&gt; &lt;img src=\"https:\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427405163408\/33189864-a474-477b-81d9-36896e4a1e2b-460x276.jpeg\" alt=\"Paxman\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/&gt; &lt;figcaption&gt; &lt;span class=\"element-image__caption\"&gt;Paxman&lt;\/span&gt; &lt;\/figcaption&gt; &lt;\/figure&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:26:13.425Z\"&gt;at 9.26pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;   <div id=\"block-55145e08e4b0cbe13ce31fa9\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.22pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Paxman interviews Cameron - Snap verdict<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Paxman interviews Cameron - Snap verdict: <\/strong>What a class act. Paxman, of course. Not just because the questions were aggressive, but because they were pointed, clever, witty (and aggressive). It was Cameron\u2019s most uncomfortable 20 minutes in an interview for ages. His concession that he could not live on a zero hours contract is already being used against him by Labour, but overall he held up reasonably well, and even managed a lighthearted comment at the end. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551477c3e4b0cbe13ce31fd3\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.20pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>The third term<\/strong><\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"f04b67b4d0c205fbc86a83820e1691999d2f9abc\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427405121006\/2afc687b-ad32-4d0a-b7e7-3d4c17339128-460x276.jpeg?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Cameron\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <\/figure>  <p><em>Q: You said you won\u2019t stand for a third term. So after three or four years, we could get someone else, or \u201cuncle Tom Cobbley\u201d.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says he will serve a full third term. But he does not think he is indispensable. <\/p> <p>And that bit of the show is over.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:25:30.281Z\"&gt;at 9.25pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147776e4b0b1a24cd21245\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.18pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Europe<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: What would it take for you to vote no in an EU referendum?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says if it were not in Britain\u2019s interests, he would not recommend staying.<\/p> <p><em>Q: So, by implication, our current membership is intolerable.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says it could be improved. He wants to give people a proper choice. And people will only get a referendum with him as prime minister. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:24:35.511Z\"&gt;at 9.24pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147724e4b01b6ac4ce4113\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.17pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Foreign policy<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: What is your biggest foreign policy disaster?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron mentions cutting the EU budget, and going into Libya.<\/p> <p><em>Q: You promised that Britain would stand by the people of Libya.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says it was right to go into Libya. Britain put in aid, and military assistance.<\/p> <p><em>Q: People are being beheaded on the beach.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says it has been very difficult.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:19:59.644Z\"&gt;at 9.19pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147687e4b07e0a7c43a79c\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.16pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Welfare cuts<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: Can you tell us where this \u00a312bn in welfare cuts will come from?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says \u00a313bn needs to come from departments, and \u00a312bn from welfare. He would freeze in-work benefits for two years. That \u00a312bn ...<\/p> <p><em>Q: \u00a310bn of which you have not explained. Where will the cuts fall?<\/em><\/p> <p>It is possible to make the savings, Cameron says.<\/p> <p><em>Q: I don\u2019t want to be rude. Do you know and are you not saying? Or do you not know?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says the Tories could cut the benefit cap. They would stop young people getting housing benefit. <\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:18:37.907Z\"&gt;at 9.18pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147610e4b07e0a7c43a79b\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.13pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>VAT<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: At the last election you said to my face, twice, that you would not raise VAT. But you did.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says now that he is in government he has been able to look at the books.<\/p> <p>He wants to find \u00a31 of waste in every \u00a3100 of government spending. His opponents want to put up taxes.<\/p> <p><em>Q: You said one thing, but did another.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says he had an appalling inheritance from Labour. He had to get the deficit down. Employment is growing; the economy is working.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:17:37.651Z\"&gt;at 9.17pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147546e4b07e0a7c43a797\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.11pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>The national debt<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: You said before the election the country was overwhelmed by debt. Do you know how much you are borrowing?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says he expects Paxman to tell him. That gets a minor laugh.<\/p> <p>Paxman says it is \u00a3500bn.<\/p> <p>Cameron says we need to cut the deficit more quickly.<\/p> <p><em>Q: My point is the chasm between what was said and what was done. You said you would cut immigration. What is it?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says it has not been cut to the tens of thousands.<\/p> <p><em>Q: You have failed.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says we need to fix the broken welfare system. He outlines his proposed changes to welfare rules for migrants.<\/p> <p><em>Q: You have not done what you said. It was a \u2018no ifs, not buts\u2019 promise.<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says he has not met the commitment he made. \u201cI fully accept that.\u201d<\/p> <h2>Fact check on the national debt question by FullFact.org<\/h2>       <figure class=\"element element-video\" data-canonical-url=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=DHdhG357sg8\"> <span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"460\" height=\"259\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/DHdhG357sg8?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=opaque\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span> <\/figure>  <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:55:39.581Z\"&gt;at 10.55pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551475c2e4b0cbe13ce31fd1\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.11pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Esther\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427391767347\/EstherAddley.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Esther Addley<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;p&gt;Judging by their red carpet arrival pap shots, David Cameron and Ed Miliband have chosen to dress, respectively, in bright royal blue and slightly lighter (more Republican?) blue. Paxman, (HE\u2019S ENTIRELY IMPARTIAL, REMEMBER), is in a scarlet tie, while Burley\u2019s gone for a shade of neon pink that seems to have made even her eyes go a bit funny.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;First blood, meanwhile, to Paxman, who is the first to mention a chap a friend of his met somewhere in the north who handily illustrates his political point. Drink!&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Food banks, zero hours\u2019 contracts, Stephen Green at HSBC, Paxo, the deficit and immigration in the first 10 minutes. Cameron currently wondering why on earth he didn\u2019t go for the mano-a-mano against Miliband.&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GaryLineker\/statuses\/581199885849907200\"&gt;  &lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p&gt;Thought &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\"&gt;#BattleForNumber10&lt;\/a&gt; was going to be a football documentary about the game&#039;s greats.&lt;\/p&gt;&amp;mdash; Gary Lineker (@GaryLineker) &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GaryLineker\/status\/581199885849907200\"&gt;March 26, 2015&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/blockquote&gt;  &lt;\/figure&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:16:53.155Z\"&gt;at 9.16pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;   <div id=\"block-5514749fe4b02ccee1b19c8a\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.08pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Minimum wage<\/strong><\/p> <p>Cameron says he wants a higher minimum wage. But it has gone up.<\/p> <p>And he has cut taxes. Low-paid people have been taken out of income tax, he says.<\/p> <p><em>Q: You couldn\u2019t live on a ZHC. I\u2019m going to get personal. You chose someone who was a rich banker who advised on tax avoidance to your government. You chose to appoint a rich newspaper person who hacked phones to No 10. And you chose to defend a rich TV presenter who hit someone. What do these people have in common?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron says they are different cases. He defends former HSBC boss Stephen Green. On Top Gear presenter Jeremy Clarkson, he says he did not know what happened. Clarkson is a friend, but it was up to the BBC to decide what to do after he assaulted a producer.<\/p> <blockquote class=\"quoted\"> <p>The aspersion you are trying to make is ridiculous.<\/p> <\/blockquote> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:16:49.947Z\"&gt;at 9.16pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514740ce4b0b1a24cd21240\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.05pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Zero hours contracts<\/strong><\/p> <p><em>Q: How many jobs are zero hours contracts?<\/em><\/p> <p>About one in 50.<\/p> <p><em>Q: Could you live on one?<\/em><\/p> <p>Cameron starts answering. As Paxman tries to interrupt, he says \u201cHold on\u201d.<\/p> <p>Paxman keeps repeating the question about whether Cameron could live on a ZHC.<\/p> <p>That\u2019s not the question, says Cameron.<\/p> <p>It\u2019s my question, says Paxman.<\/p> <p>Cameron says the government outlawed exclusive ZHCs. He could not live on one. That is why they got rid of them.<\/p> <h2>Fact check on zero hours contracts by FullFact.org<\/h2>       <figure class=\"element element-video\" data-canonical-url=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=og_rdSnCghs\"> <span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"460\" height=\"259\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/og_rdSnCghs?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=opaque\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span> <\/figure>  <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T22:56:15.479Z\"&gt;at 10.56pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551472a1e4b01b6ac4ce410f\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.03pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Paxman interviews Cameron<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><em>Q: Do you know how many food banks there were when you came to power.<\/em><\/p> <p>Not exactly, says Cameron. But the people who run them do a good job.<\/p> <p><em>Q: There were 66. Now it\u2019s 421. You said you would fix the broken society. You didn\u2019t.<\/em><\/p> <p>(Paxman isn\u2019t holding back.)<\/p> <p>Cameron says he does not accept that. Labour did not promote food banks in job centres.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147354e4b0b1a24cd2123d\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 9.00pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">We're under way: Cameron\/Miliband in #BattleforNumber10<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"54ae2a7471691fc10e0f6bf5d78e02a9c78cd169\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427404763595\/cf68f4f0-4256-4558-b8d0-854dc7400aea-460x276.jpeg?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Cameron\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <\/figure>  <p>Jeremy Paxman opens the programme.<\/p> <p>He says it is the first big test of the election. <\/p> <p>Kay Burley introduces the studio audience, and talks through the order of play.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T21:19:31.345Z\"&gt;at 9.19pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147307e4b0cbe13ce31fce\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.59pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Here we go.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147258e4b01b6ac4ce410e\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.55pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JGForsyth\/statuses\/581197834264936449\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Pre-showdown spin, people who\u2019ve spent the last 5 years telling you that their opponent is rubbish are now likening them to Demosthenes<\/p>&mdash; James Forsyth (@JGForsyth) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JGForsyth\/status\/581197834264936449\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55147148e4b02ccee1b19c87\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.53pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Douglas Alexander<\/strong>, Labour election strategy chair, is in the spin room spinning for Ed Miliband.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DAlexanderMP\/statuses\/581196614838140929\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>The view in the Press Room here at Sky&#039;s studios as we await the beginning of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/battlefornumber10?src=hash\">#battlefornumber10<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/wjdH2OZsI3\">pic.twitter.com\/wjdH2OZsI3<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Douglas Alexander (@DAlexanderMP) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DAlexanderMP\/status\/581196614838140929\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55146866e4b02ccee1b19c80\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.51pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Esther Addley\u2019s alternative (non-)debate commentary<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Esther Addley\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427391767347\/EstherAddley.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Esther Addley<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;p&gt;Okay, so it\u2019s not a debate. Try to control your disappointment. Cameron and Miliband will not trade verbal jousts, and will not even appear in the same room at the same time, though the reluctant prime minister might be regretting his determined resistance on that point after his rampant performance at PMQs yesterday.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;But at last, after months of barracking and blather, we finally get our first chance to decide who wins \u201cThe Battle for Number 10\u201d when the two heavyweights finally square up against each other. I\u2019ll be reporting on the night from an armchair pundit\u2019s point of view, offering a slightly different slant from Andrew \u2013 more The Thick of It than Newsnight.&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidschneider\/statuses\/581187198952861696\"&gt;  &lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p&gt;Cameron (right of pic) insists on hazmat suit to ensure no debatey contact with Miliband tonight &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/battlefornumber10?src=hash\"&gt;#battlefornumber10&lt;\/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/3LKWEKjz3s\"&gt;pic.twitter.com\/3LKWEKjz3s&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;&amp;mdash; David Schneider (@davidschneider) &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidschneider\/status\/581187198952861696\"&gt;March 26, 2015&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/blockquote&gt;  &lt;\/figure&gt;  &lt;p&gt;So which is it to be? Sky or Channel 4? Fittingly for such an entirely bizarre event, both broadcasters are screening \u201cCameron and Miliband Live\u201d (that\u2019s \u201cand\u201d, you will note, not \u201cversus\u201d), and if that wasn\u2019t strange enough, it\u2019s co-presented by two formidable battlers in their own right, Jeremy Paxman - making his first major post-Newsnight appearance - and Kay Burley, &lt;a href=\"http:\/\/ http:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/politics\/8423480\/Kay-Burley-Skys-first-lady-sets-Westminster-tongues-wagging.html\"&gt;whom the Telegraph once called \u201cthe high-heeled hellcat from Hounslow\u201d&lt;\/a&gt;, which we think means she\u2019s an aggressive interviewer who is a woman.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;At least we can be confident this will be an entirely impartial non-debate \u2013 &lt;a href=\"http:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/culture\/tvandradio\/bbc\/10929289\/Newsnight-is-made-by-13-year-olds-says-Jeremy-Paxman\"&gt;the fact that Paxman has admitted to being a \u201cone nation Tory\u201d&lt;\/a&gt; and &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/shamindernahal\/status\/581145121581867008\"&gt;reportedly recently \u201cseriously considered\u201d standing for the party in Kensington and Chelsea are of absolutely no consequence&lt;\/a&gt;.&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;figure class=\"element element-image element--thumbnail\" data-media-id=\"493f27bf2c88b7c8feafa1bff1c134a4f53738a6\"&gt; &lt;img src=\"https:\/\/media.guim.co.uk\/493f27bf2c88b7c8feafa1bff1c134a4f53738a6\/83_740_731_1096\/667.jpg\" alt=\"Kay Burley.\" width=\"667\" height=\"1000\" class=\"gu-image\" \/&gt; &lt;figcaption&gt; &lt;span class=\"element-image__caption\"&gt;Kay Burley.&lt;\/span&gt; &lt;\/figcaption&gt; &lt;\/figure&gt;  &lt;p&gt;Burley has not declared a party allegiance, &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Pt_cUiCjggE\"&gt;though she did tell the director of the campaign group 38 Degrees&lt;\/a&gt; that a protest at Westminster would \u201cmake no difference whatsoever \u2026 Why don\u2019t you just go home?\u201d, and there &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Xco7o7-uTiI\"&gt;was also that time&lt;\/a&gt; she called a campaigner from Yes Scotland a \u201cknob\u201d.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Unlikely studio-mates, perhaps, but according to the Daily Mail they are getting along swimmingly, with Burley marching up to a glum-looking Paxman at rehearsals and proclaiming &lt;a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/media\/2015\/mar\/26\/jeremy-paxman-kay-burley-election-debate-david-cameron-ed-miliband\"&gt;\u201cOn your feet, big guy, and give me a snog\u201d.&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Fingers crossed for more of that this evening.&lt;br \/&gt;&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T20:56:40.557Z\"&gt;at 8.56pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;   <div id=\"block-551470fce4b0b1a24cd2123a\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.50pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>This sounds like wishful thinking.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MichaelLCrick\/statuses\/581196314945392640\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>&quot;The Lib Dems are the big winners&quot;, that&#039;s what I want to see tomorrow says minister Norman Lamb as Cameron &amp; Miliband face Q&amp;A but no Clegg<\/p>&mdash; Michael Crick (@MichaelLCrick) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MichaelLCrick\/status\/581196314945392640\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure>  <p>I\u2019m afraid a Lib Dem win isn\u2019t an option with our ICM poll.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55146f9ee4b0b1a24cd21239\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.48pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>The two parties tossed a coin to decide who went first. Labour won, and Ed Miliband decided to go second.<\/p> <p>The two party leaders also decided in what order to do the interview\/Q&amp;A sections. David Cameron chose to have his Paxman encounter first, while Miliband decided to confront the audience before being formally interviewed.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KayBurley\/statuses\/581004034619760640\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Decision on who goes first tonight in <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a> was decided by the toss of a coin. A 20p piece provided by Labour. We still have it<\/p>&mdash; Kay Burley (@KayBurley) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KayBurley\/status\/581004034619760640\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T20:56:55.051Z\"&gt;at 8.56pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55146fe8e4b0eb24a16eb7a3\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.46pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>Nigel Farage<\/strong> is speaking to Sky\u2019s Adam Boulton.<\/p> <p>Asked who he expects to win, he says at least David Cameron has a message. He does not know what Labour stands for.<\/p> <blockquote class=\"quoted\"> <p>I suspect that Cameron will get the upper hand.<\/p> <\/blockquote>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"6d71873b9c3ae9e3ce91611772a9a9645e7a1bd9\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427402805478\/451485d9-44b1-428a-80ac-0033b58e17b5-460x276.png?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Nigel Farage at the Sky studio\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Nigel Farage at the Sky studio<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Sky News<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55146eece4b02ccee1b19c83\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.42pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Here are more pictures from Sky HQ.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DominicHarris8\/statuses\/581190158374039552\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Political heavyweights behind the cameras will also rub shoulders tonight for <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/d8qFfIgSOv\">https:\/\/t.co\/d8qFfIgSOv<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Dominic Harris (@DominicHarris8) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DominicHarris8\/status\/581190158374039552\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DominicHarris8\/statuses\/581189487868416000\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Adam Boulton gets the Sky News questions in early in the press room ahead of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uckqfyvCWL\">https:\/\/t.co\/uckqfyvCWL<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Dominic Harris (@DominicHarris8) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DominicHarris8\/status\/581189487868416000\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure>  <p>And, for some reason, the Iron Throne from the Game of Thrones is there. <\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DominicHarris8\/statuses\/581185729994313728\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Who will win the Game Of Thrones? The Iron Throne is artfully placed outside the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a> studio <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/ywDwvnKPSn\">pic.twitter.com\/ywDwvnKPSn<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Dominic Harris (@DominicHarris8) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DominicHarris8\/status\/581185729994313728\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55146ddae4b0b1a24cd21232\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.36pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DMcCaffreySKY\/statuses\/581191782236626944\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Nigel Farage is here and has gone straight to the bar. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/fxUuavuysw\">pic.twitter.com\/fxUuavuysw<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Darren McCaffrey (@DMcCaffreySKY) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DMcCaffreySKY\/status\/581191782236626944\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55146d5ce4b0cbe13ce31fc5\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.35pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Nigel Farage turns up<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Nigel Farage has turned up.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rowenamason\/statuses\/581192306612670465\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Nigel Farage has gatecrashed!! His spinner is in the spin room <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Rowena Mason (@rowenamason) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rowenamason\/status\/581192306612670465\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MichaelLCrick\/statuses\/581191553294725120\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Nigel Farage has now turned up at Sky studios to comment on Cameron-Miliband Q&amp;A<\/p>&mdash; Michael Crick (@MichaelLCrick) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MichaelLCrick\/status\/581191553294725120\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure>  <p>Perhaps he\u2019ll end up winning?<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55146a94e4b0b1a24cd21226\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.23pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>More from the spin room.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rowenamason\/statuses\/581188569571655681\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>Lots of journos in the spin room worrying about having to file copy before debates are over. Still not much pre-match spinning going on yet.<\/p>&mdash; Rowena Mason (@rowenamason) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rowenamason\/status\/581188569571655681\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure>  <p>Some of us are used to writing as we go along ...<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-5514607ae4b0cbe13ce31fac\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.20pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Polling benchmarks<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Soon after tonight\u2019s event is over, the Guardian will publish the results of an ICM poll of viewers who have watched the whole programme. Respondents will be asked who they think \u201cwon\u201d, and the results will be weighted demographically, and by past voting, so that they give a reasonable idea as to what a representative sample of the electorate would say if they had watched the programme.<\/p> <p>But who would you expect to win? Here are at least three benchmarks you could use.<\/p> <p><strong>Party polling<\/strong><\/p> <p>Sometimes the results of debate polls closely mirror party polls. If that happens tonight, it will be a draw, because Labour and the Conservatives are effectively tied in the current polls. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/ng-interactive\/2015\/feb\/27\/guardian-poll-projection\">Here\u2019s the Guardian\u2019s graph showing the average of latest polls, with Labour on 33.6% and the Conservatives on 33.4%.<\/a><\/p> <p>That means if either Cameron or Miliband secure a clear win, they will be able to say they are outperforming their party.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"47bc2a7b8d971ee0b10ba39f8601e4ee969f4b74\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427398777575\/ffaa61aa-ba17-4c2c-b5be-a9efd9ddc080-460x276.png?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Current polls\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Current polls<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Guardian<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure>  <p><strong>Leader perceptions<\/strong><\/p> <p>But voters already have views about Cameron and Miliband. And they think Cameron would make the best prime minister. Here are the latest figures on this<a href=\"https:\/\/d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net\/cumulus_uploads\/document\/p588il6k48\/YG-Archives-Pol-Trackers-Leaders-Perceptions-250315.pdf\"> from YouGov\u2019s tracker (pdf).<\/a><\/p> <p>Who would make the best prime minister?<br \/><\/p> <p>Cameron: 39%<\/p> <p>Miliband: 21%<\/p> <p>That means, if people judge the debate partly in accordance with their views on who might make the best prime minister, you would expect Cameron to win easily. If he doesn\u2019t, Miliband could arguably claim that he is outperforming expectations. <\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"6cec3b4f77d38d9424f3af6e53febfe43a883322\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427399172742\/f521fb22-c775-4486-8918-99a06305bebc-bestSizeAvailable.png?resize=330%2C198&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Leader perceptions\" width=\"330\" height=\"198\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Leader perceptions<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: YouGov<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure>  <p><strong>Leaders\u2019 approval<\/strong><\/p> <p>There is another way of judging leaders: asking whether they are doing well or badly. And, on this measure, <a href=\"https:\/\/d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net\/cumulus_uploads\/document\/9tu4d3gek7\/YG-Archives-Pol-Trackers-Leaders-Approval-200315.pdf\">as the YouGov figures show (pdf)<\/a>, Miliband is far behind Cameron. (This probably reflects critical coverage of Miliband in the media, and polling evidence suggesting that, unlike Cameron, he is having a negative effect on support for his party.) If you take this as a benchmark, then, just so long as Miliband does not get trounced by Cameron, he can go home arguing he has made some progress. <\/p> <p>Cameron: -5 (45% well, 50% badly)<\/p> <p>Miliband: -39 (26% well, 65% badly)<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T20:21:27.180Z\"&gt;at 8.21pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55146774e4b0b1a24cd21225\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 8.11pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Cameron arrives<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>And David Cameron has now just arrived.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"304d3a076d614db9bc41503b8680b8ed6e52ca75\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427400647265\/64abd732-ad28-4f5c-958b-5da12e0bd951-460x276.png?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"David Cameron arriving at Sky\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T20:14:26.987Z\"&gt;at 8.14pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551464a5e4b01b6ac4ce4104\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 7.58pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Labour is effectively trying to \u201csledge\u201d Cameron on Twitter.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UKLabour\/statuses\/581168766580477952\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>The public want a debate, but David Cameron\u2019s not giving it to them. Is he hiding something? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JMmDznC8Nw\">https:\/\/t.co\/JMmDznC8Nw<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleforNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleforNumber10<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Labour Party (@UKLabour) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UKLabour\/status\/581168766580477952\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UKLabour\/statuses\/581178810076246016\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>If David Cameron could stand by his record he\u2019d debate Ed tonight. He can\u2019t defend his record so he won\u2019t debate. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleforNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleforNumber10<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Labour Party (@UKLabour) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UKLabour\/status\/581178810076246016\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551463bde4b0eb24a16eb795\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 7.54pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Miliband arrives<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Ed Miliband has arrived at the Sky studios in west London.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"17b9a28c135c15ffff6aadb21983b525176065f7\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427399653354\/0969d578-6b33-45b7-a897-51782e1bd0ec-460x276.png?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Ed Miliband arriving at Sky\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T20:06:33.215Z\"&gt;at 8.06pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55145b8de4b07e0a7c43a787\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 7.50pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p><strong>But what do the real voters think?<\/strong> We have 60 on standby to give their view as part of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/23\/voters-feelings-general-election-2015-main-parties-britain-thinks\">our polling project with BritainThinks<\/a>, which is following voters in five key seats through the campaign.<\/p> <p>Each of the 60 has been given a smartphone app that will enable them to tell us their instant verdicts on the leaders as they speak, giving you a snapshot of opinion among people whose votes in key marginals could decide who gets the keys to Downing Street.<\/p> <p><strong>Remember to refresh the blog regularly<\/strong>, as these opinions will be added to older posts as they come in to make sure they don\u2019t break up the chronological flow of topics discussed by Cameron and Miliband.<\/p> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55145f42e4b0eb24a16eb791\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 7.36pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>My colleague Rowena Mason is at the \u201cspin room\u201d at the Sky studios where the Cameron\/Miliband showdown will take place.<\/p> <p>It is not exactly buzzing, she says.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rowenamason\/statuses\/581176299156275200\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>The spin room isn&#039;t very buzzing yet... Gove + Truss will be talking for the Tories, Alexander + Flint for Lab later <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/bUbhiyfkdk\">pic.twitter.com\/bUbhiyfkdk<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Rowena Mason (@rowenamason) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rowenamason\/status\/581176299156275200\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55145c63e4b07e0a7c43a78a\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 7.28pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>How many people are likely to watch tonight\u2019s programme? My colleague <strong>John Plunkett<\/strong>, the Guardian media correspondent, has sent me this.<\/p> <blockquote class=\"quoted\"> <p>Predicting TV ratings is a mug\u2019s game - so here goes. <\/p> <p>Channel 4 and Sky News will be hoping for a combined audience of at least 2 million viewers for tonight\u2019s election opener with Cameron and Miliband. <br \/><\/p> <p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/media\/2010\/apr\/16\/leaders-debate-tv-ratings\">The 2010 debates did huge ratings, with more than 9 million viewers tuning into the opening head-to-head on ITV.<\/a> But this isn\u2019t a debate and Channel 4 didn\u2019t have one last time, so there\u2019s no precedent.<\/p> <p>The good news for C4 and Sky is that there\u2019s not much competition, up against BBC1\u2019s The Truth About Calories and The Triplets Are Coming! on ITV (and Jimmy McGovern\u2019s acclaimed drama Banished on BBC2).<\/p> <p>Channel 4 had 1.7 million viewers in the slot last week for its Trevor Phillips documentary, Things We Won\u2019t Say About Race That Are True, while Sky News tends gets 500,000 viewers or more during big breaking news stories.<\/p> <p>So a combined audience of 2 million-plus \u2013 the sort of audience BBC1 gets for Question Time \u2013 is the target. More than 3 million and Paxo will have truly stuffed the opposition. They\u2019ll be delighted.<\/p> <\/blockquote>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"gu-fc-29dd95e4-9458-490a-9d61-c63301b3d2c5\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427399542061\/4089074a-24cb-4019-87e6-c6cb1c6e76f2-460x276.jpeg?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Cameron, Nick Clegg and Gordon Brown during the 2010 TV debates.\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Cameron, Nick Clegg and Gordon Brown during the 2010 TV debates.<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Stefan Rousseau\/PA<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T19:53:02.553Z\"&gt;at 7.53pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551459e1e4b07e0a7c43a785\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 7.13pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Alberto Nardelli\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/22\/1427053245158\/AlbertoNardelli.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Alberto Nardelli<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;p&gt;Do debates actually affect the polls? &lt;a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/news\/datablog\/2015\/mar\/26\/election-2015-could-the-debates-move-the-polls\"&gt;My colleague Alberto Nardelli has written a shrewd analysis&lt;\/a&gt;. Here\u2019s his conclusion.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;blockquote class=\"quoted\"&gt; &lt;p&gt;The polling data from 2010 shows us that the debates did generate real movement in the polling, even if much of that was erased by polling day.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;That explains why Cameron is so keen not to have any debates close to polling day \u2013 having them some distance out arguably reduces any risk of him performing badly and suddenly falling in the polls. &lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;In an election that is closely fought and involves a large number of parties, even small movements like those in 2010 could be sufficient to influence the overall outcome of the vote on 7 May.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;\/blockquote&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T19:44:12.278Z\"&gt;at 7.44pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;   <div id=\"block-551455e1e4b07e0a7c43a782\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 7.03pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>Any big broadcasting event like this is a clash between two alpha egos, each determined to assert their superiority. The competition can be brutal.<\/p> <p>But I shouldn\u2019t be too harsh about Jeremy Paxman and Kay Burley, because they do seem to be making an effort to get on. To make the point, Sky News has released this.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-tweet\" data-canonical-url=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SkyNews\/statuses\/581153618725904384\">  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p>As David Cameron &amp; Ed Miliband prepare for <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BattleForNumber10?src=hash\">#BattleForNumber10<\/a> at 9pm, here are Kay Burley &amp; Jeremy Paxman&#039;s outtakes <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XF4XfZ0yKa\">https:\/\/t.co\/XF4XfZ0yKa<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Sky News (@SkyNews) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SkyNews\/status\/581153618725904384\">March 26, 2015<\/a><\/blockquote>  <\/figure>  <p>Earlier, Burley was showing Sky viewers the set. She will stand behind a podium ...<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"54809802aaad720c1fc4b272670ee7ae305e016b\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427396402519\/b8b2e169-f90f-4aaf-bbf1-98799bfc409c-460x276.png?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Kay Burley on set\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Kay Burley on set<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Sky News<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure>  <p>... while Paxo gets one of these chairs.<\/p>  <figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"5548c346d491a66b31a8389792128089546327a5\"> <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/26\/1427396478174\/69f66cd8-6a89-4a75-8853-ecbda702cc19-460x276.png?resize=460%2C276&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Kay Burley\" width=\"460\" height=\"276\" class=\"gu-image\" \/> <figcaption> <span class=\"element-image__caption\">Kay Burley<\/span> <span class=\"element-image__credit\">Photograph: Sky News<\/span> <\/figcaption> <\/figure> <\/div>   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T19:45:49.520Z\"&gt;at 7.45pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-551453e0e4b07e0a7c43a780\" class=\"block\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 6.48pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>    <div class=\"block-elements\">  <p>If tonight\u2019s <strike> debate <\/strike>, sorry showdown, is as jolly as this - Michael Crick doorstepping Jeremy Paxman (his former Newsnight colleague) and challenging him about being a Tory - then we will be fine.<\/p>       <figure class=\"element element-video\" data-canonical-url=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=lEBERsLEq5U\"> <span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"460\" height=\"259\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/lEBERsLEq5U?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=opaque\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span> <\/figure>  <\/div>   &lt;\/div&gt; <div id=\"block-55143d96e4b02ccee1b19c58\" class=\"block is-key-event\" data-block-contributor=\"\"> <p class=\"block-time published-time\"> 6.40pm <span class=\"timezone\">GMT<\/span> <\/p>   <h2 class=\"block-title\">Welcome to tonight's #notadebate coverage<\/h2>  <div class=\"block-elements\">  <figure class=\"element element-embed\" data-alt=\"Andrew Sparrow\">  <img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"oscar-image\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2015\/3\/22\/1427053245375\/AndrewSparrow.jpg?w=604&#038;ssl=1\" \/><h1 class=\"oscar-name\">Andrew Sparrow<\/h1><\/figure><\/div>&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/body&amp;gt;&amp;lt;\/html&amp;gt;\"&amp;gt;   &lt;p&gt;Welcome to tonight\u2019s live blog covering ... well, we\u2019re not quite sure what to call it.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;It is not quite a head-to-head debate between David Cameron and Ed Miliband. But arguably it is the nearest thing we\u2019re going to get to one, because all the other debates or debate-related election events will involve other parties. This is the only one that will pit just these two against each other.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;And there will be a winner. The Guardian has commissioned a snap poll from ICM and, soon after the event finishes at 10.30pm, we will be publishing the results, which will show who respondents think \u201cwon\u201d the contest, as well as who came over as more appealing and more convincing.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;The event is jointly organised by Sky News and Channel 4 and they are billing it as the #BattleForNumber10 (a terrible hashtag, not least because #BattleForNo10 would have been shorter). On Twitter others are calling it the #notadebate, or #camVmili.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/26\/leaders-debates-general-election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman\"&gt;My colleague Rowena Mason has written a guide to the format&lt;\/a&gt;. Jeremy Paxman is interviewing the two leaders and his co-presenter, Kay Burley, will be moderating as Cameron and Miliband take questions from the audience. And here is a guide to the key timings.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;9pm:&lt;\/strong&gt;&lt;\/em&gt; The programme starts, with Paxman interviewing Cameron.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Around 9.25pm:&lt;\/strong&gt;&lt;\/em&gt; Cameron\u2019s Q&amp;amp;A, moderated by Burley.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Around 9.45pm:&lt;\/strong&gt; &lt;\/em&gt;Miliband\u2019s Q&amp;amp;A, moderated by Burley.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Around 10.10pm:&lt;\/strong&gt;&lt;\/em&gt; Paxman interviews Miliband.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Soon after 10.30pm:&lt;\/strong&gt; &lt;\/em&gt;The Guardian\u2019s ICM poll figures are published, here on this blog.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;The official election campaign hasn\u2019t quite started. But we\u2019re almost there - tonight Downing Street announced the date when parliament will be summoned after the election - and Cameron will face up to Paxman after a rollercoaster day and a half.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Yesterday he won rave reviews for his performance in the final PMQs of this parliament.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;But today he has suffered two difficult defeats: in the supreme court, &lt;a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/uk-news\/2015\/mar\/26\/supreme-court-clears-way-release-secret-prince-charles-letters-black-spider-memos\"&gt;where the government has lots its battle to block the publication of secret letters from Prince Charles;&lt;\/a&gt; and in the Commons, &lt;a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/26\/tory-backbench-rebellion-defeats-hagues-attempt-to-unseat-speaker-john-bercow\"&gt;where a Tory attempt to introduce a rule change that could pave the way for John Bercow being ousted as Speaker was voted down&lt;\/a&gt; after a dramatic debate. &lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;I will be covering developments in the runup to tonight\u2019s Cameron\/Miliband showdown, as well as covering the event itself and bringing you the best reaction and analysis afterwards - as well as full details of that poll.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;While the event is taking place, we will have a live feed at the top of our blog.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;And we will also be posting Factcheck analyses as it goes on, and reaction from our panel of floating voters.&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;If you want to follow me on Twitter, I\u2019m on &lt;a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AndrewSparrow\"&gt;@AndrewSparrow.&lt;\/a&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;figure class=\"element element-image\" data-media-id=\"b7083158147aa9bea43f644930236556fd93a22d\"&gt; &lt;img src=\"https:\/\/media.guim.co.uk\/b7083158147aa9bea43f644930236556fd93a22d\/0_0_5154_3100\/1000.jpg\" alt=\"Ed Miliband and David Cameron will face audience questions moderated by Kay Burley\" width=\"1000\" height=\"601\" class=\"gu-image\" \/&gt; &lt;figcaption&gt; &lt;span class=\"element-image__caption\"&gt;Ed Miliband and David Cameron will face audience questions moderated by Kay Burley.&lt;\/span&gt; &lt;span class=\"element-image__credit\"&gt;Photograph: EPA\/Sky\/Getty&lt;\/span&gt; &lt;\/figcaption&gt; &lt;\/figure&gt; &lt;\/div&gt;   &lt;p class=\"block-time updated-time\"&gt;Updated &lt;time datetime=\"2015-03-26T19:48:26.594Z\"&gt;at 7.48pm GMT&lt;\/time&gt;&lt;\/p&gt;  &lt;p&gt;guardian.co.uk &#169; Guardian News &amp;amp; Media Limited 2010&lt;\/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;Published via the &lt;a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/open-platform\/news-feed-wordpress-plugin\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Guardian plugin page\"&gt;Guardian News Feed&lt;\/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.org\/extend\/plugins\/the-guardian-news-feed\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"Wordress plugin page\"&gt;plugin&lt;\/a&gt; for WordPress.&lt;\/p&gt;&lt;!-- END GUARDIAN WATERMARK --&gt;\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/code><\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PM gets rough ride from Jeremy Paxman, who pressed him on the minimum wage, foreign policy and his 2010 pledges on VAT. Follow the audience Q&amp;A now<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/live\/2015\/mar\/26\/election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman-live-updates#block-55146d5ce4b0cbe13ce31fc5\">Nigel Farage gatecrashes the Sky studios \u2013 and heads to the bar<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2015\/mar\/26\/leaders-debates-general-election-2015-david-cameron-ed-miliband-jeremy-paxman\">All you need to know about tonight\u2019s Channel 4\/Sky News format<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":true,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3],"tags":[191,59,71,187,97,164,182,185,184,188,133,190,77,45,183,186,189,46],"class_list":["post-7061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-musings","tag-andrew-sparrow","tag-article","tag-blogposts","tag-channel-4","tag-david-cameron","tag-ed-miliband","tag-election-live-2015","tag-jeremy-paxman","tag-kay-burley","tag-leaders-debates","tag-media","tag-minute-by-minutes","tag-news","tag-politics","tag-politics-live-with-andrew-sparrow","tag-sky-news","tag-television-industry","tag-uk-news"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p6NRDR-1PT","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":2119,"url":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/2013\/12\/08\/mps-11-pay-rise-set-to-embarrass-party-leaders\/","url_meta":{"origin":7061,"position":0},"title":"MPs&#8217; 11% pay rise set to embarrass party leaders","author":"diana Stone","date":"December 8, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Independent body will announce increase to \u00a374,000 from 2015 despite opposition from Cameron and Miliband","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Musings&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Musings","link":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/category\/musings\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Powered by Guardian.co.uk","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/image.guardian.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2010\/03\/01\/poweredbyguardianBLACK.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":37075,"url":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/2016\/03\/28\/two-tribes-go-to-war-and-neither-the-red-nor-the-blue-chief-is-safe\/","url_meta":{"origin":7061,"position":1},"title":"Two tribes go to war and neither the red nor the blue chief is safe","author":"diana Stone","date":"March 28, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"It is conceivable that before year\u2019s end there will be attempts within both major parties to oust their leaders","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Musings&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Musings","link":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/category\/musings\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Powered by Guardian.co.uk","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/image.guardian.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2010\/03\/01\/poweredbyguardianBLACK.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":9150,"url":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/2015\/05\/01\/the-guardian-view-britain-needs-a-new-direction-britain-needs-labour\/","url_meta":{"origin":7061,"position":2},"title":"The Guardian view: Britain needs a new direction, Britain needs Labour","author":"diana Stone","date":"May 1, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Election 2015 poses some profound questions for this country. Ed Miliband has better answers than his rivals, and so deserves a chance to govern","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Musings&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Musings","link":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/category\/musings\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Powered by Guardian.co.uk","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/image.guardian.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2010\/03\/01\/poweredbyguardianBLACK.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":26628,"url":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/2015\/12\/04\/the-guardian-view-on-labours-byelection-win-not-such-a-bad-week-after-all\/","url_meta":{"origin":7061,"position":3},"title":"The Guardian view on Labour\u2019s byelection win: not such a bad week after all","author":"diana Stone","date":"December 4, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Don\u2019t overstate what it all means \u2013 but Jeremy Corbyn was backed by most of his MPs over Syria and his party has now won an important byelection","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Musings&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Musings","link":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/category\/musings\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Powered by Guardian.co.uk","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/image.guardian.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2010\/03\/01\/poweredbyguardianBLACK.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":9916,"url":"https:\/\/glass-cage.com\/dianas_blog\/2015\/05\/12\/an-obituary-from-the-year-2025-for-a-labour-party-that-abandoned-its-roots\/","url_meta":{"origin":7061,"position":4},"title":"An obituary from the year 2025 for a Labour party that abandoned its roots","author":"diana Stone","date":"May 12, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The party could withstand election defeats. 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